Regional risk assessment for earthquakes and floods contributes to disaster risk management and financing activities in Central Asia

September 2, 2022 – The results of the regional earthquake and flood risk assessment in Central Asia are presented today to a group of technical experts and representatives from national disaster risk management agencies. The analysis has been produced by a consortium of international and local experts under the European Union-funded “Strengthening Financial Resilience and Accelerating Risk Reduction in Central Asia” (SFRARR) program.

The region of Central Asia is highly vulnerable to earthquakes and floods, which affect livelihoods of people and cause economic losses as well as disruptions to vital infrastructure networks. To minimize future losses, more emphasis needs to be placed on disaster risk preparedness and mitigation through risk modelling and assessment.

Produced report provides Central Asian governments, technical and scientific communities, and development organizations with better understanding of risk assessment and serves to be a reliable tool, which will help inform possible disaster risk financing interventions at the regional level for medium to large-scale cross-border disaster risks.

The report estimates the distribution of the probability of losses for a group of exposed assets (e.g., building stock, roads, railways, crops) and population over a given period, as a consequence of the occurrence of future events. It also provides three-scenario projections till year 2080 and introduces newest and most innovative approaches and models in disaster risk management.

This assessment was conducted using state-of-the-art methodologies and thorough analytical tools and helps to underpin the regional and national risk financing and insurance applications.  National experts from Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan actively participated in the research, providing the necessary support with datasets and local knowledge. This and previously produced assessments will collectively contribute to decision-making on risk reduction, disaster- and climate-sensitive development in each country and region as a whole.

The EU-funded SFRARR Program – managed by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) and implemented by the World Bank in close collaboration with the Center for Emergency Situations and Disaster Risk Reduction (CESDRR) – supports Central Asian countries in building disaster resilience and strengthening capacities for financial protection.

For additional information, please contact:

EU Delegation to Kazakhstan: delegation-kazakhstan-pic@eeas.europa.eu;

Ms. Chyi-Yun Huang, Senior Urban Development and Disaster Risk Management Specialist, World Bank, e-mail: chuang@worldbank.org.